This paper was presented at the 2025 EurIPS workshop Epistemic Intelligence in Machine Learning and the 2025 International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities (both non-archival).
Authors ordered alphabetically.
Property elicitation studies which attributes of a probability distribution can be determined by minimising a risk. We investigate a generalisation of property elicitation to imprecise probabilities (IP). This investigation is motivated by multi-distribution learning, which takes the classical machine learning paradigm of minimising a single risk over a (precise) probability and replaces it with \(\Gamma\)-maximin risk minimization over an IP. We provide necessary conditions for elicitability of a IP-property. Furthermore, we explain what an elicitable IP-property actually elicits through Bayes pairs – the elicited IP-property is the corresponding standard property of the maximum Bayes risk distribution.
This paper was presented at the 2025 EurIPS workshop Epistemic Intelligence in Machine Learning and the 2025 International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities (both non-archival).
Authors ordered alphabetically.
James Bailie and Rabanus Derr (2025). “Property Elicitation on Imprecise Probabilities”. doi: 10.48550/arXiv.2507.05857
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